7.30 Newcastle, Friday, May 4

The Newcastle United Foundation Handicap (7.30) at Newcastle on Friday evening is the best race on the card in terms of quality and, while recent winning form is in short supply, may provide course and distance winner Von Blucher with an opportunity to regain the winning thread. Rebecca Menzies’ 5-year-old has to shoulder 10st 5lb, less Connor Murtagh’s 5lb claim, and is on a retrieval mission after failing to beat a rival on his last three starts, including when favourite at Lingfield three starts ago.

 

 

However, two of those starts were over an inadequate 6 furlongs and the other was in a conditions stakes race, in which he had little chance at the weights. His January course and distance win – which was franked by the second, Swift Approval – came in a 0-105 contest, off today’s mark of 96 so, from a handicapping perspective, he is entitled to be there or thereabouts, if able to recapture the same level of form.

 

 

Interestingly, he’s 2-3 on the all-weather and his one defeat came in a 0-105 contest over 6 furlongs at Lingfield, where he lost his place by running wide on the bend two furlongs from home. He’s no world beater, but is better than his recent form figures imply and potentially well handicapped, so he’ll do for me.

 

 

Selection: Newcastle 7.30 Von Blucher to win

 

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