UK Horse Racing Tips

Saeeb Bin Suroor is one of few trainers to be recognised on the world stage. Bolstered by his connection with Sheikh Mohammed Al Maktoum, Godolphin has transformed horseracing to a point where it would be sadly lacking if we lost this noble presence. Certainly its dominance within British and Dubai-based racing has brought success at the highest levels with a calibre of horse most trainers could only imagine. Perhaps it is for this very reason that punters and journalists alike often lament on their failings – perhaps in justification that money is no guarantee of success.

But what are we to conclude from the performance of their two-year-olds? In recent years the youngsters have been far from impressive, all be it a few sparkling individuals, the general standard and limited number of runners has been disappointing. However, the 2009 season saw more promise with an abundance of runners and winners and this could be reflected in an exciting three-year-old campaign.

Saeed Bin Suroor takes his time with his juveniles with a handful of runners in May but greater numbers throughout the summer and autumn. Their two-year-olds have a general win rate of 28%, which is slightly lower for juveniles on their debut. There is one major finding regarding the Godolphin juveniles: they generally short odds. In recent years, 30% of juveniles have been priced 3/1 & less when making their racecourse bow. Juveniles on their second start make interesting reading. Here their win rate is substantially higher and features an impressive 70% place rate for individuals priced 13/2 & less. However, this statistic must be taken in context. Over 50% of the juveniles, racing and winning in 2009, were priced even money or less and the majority 7/2 & less. Bin Suroor details an impressive win rate at Lingfield (AW) and York – 50% from 40 runners.

There is little doubt Saeed Bin Suroor’s juveniles have the potential to compete at the highest level of racing. However, all too often such promise has failed to materialise. The 2009 season saw a revival of fortunes and this success should be congratulated. This 2010 Flat season may see Godolphin realise their potential, which is only fitting with regard to their considerable investment.

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